GOLD REVEALS CHANNEL PATTERN — TRADING IDEAS — DUKASCOPY BANK
On Tuesday morning, the yellow metal’s price was fluctuating almost flat near the 55 and 100-hour simple moving averages close by to the 1,840.00 level.
Meanwhile, the commodity price has been captured by a channel down pattern, which has guided the metal since January 8.
Economic Calendar Analysis
On Thursday, at 13:30 GMT, expect the weekly US Unemployment Claims.
Next week, data releases, which could impact the USD/JPY start on Thursday. At 13:30 GMT, the weekly US Unemployment Claims are set to be published.
On Friday, the US Services and Manufacturing PMIs could cause a notable adjustment in the USD value.
Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.
XAU/USD short-term forecast
The XAU/USD exchange rate has revealed a short-term descending channel.
From a theoretical perspective, it is likely that the price for gold could bounce off the upper channel line, and yellow metal could depreciate against the US Dollar in the short term.
In the meantime, it is unlikely that bulls could prevail in the market, and the exchange rate could exceed the resistance formed by the 200-hour moving average and the Fibo 23.60% near 1,860.00.
On the daily candle chart, the metal’s decline passed the support of the 200-day SMA at 1,844.00 and the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level at the 1,837.43 level. Moreover, note that the 200-day SMA began to provide resistance to the price on Monday.
The metal has no additional technical support on the daily candle chart, as low as the 50.00% Fibo at 1,763.74. This level provided the price with support at the end of November, when the December surge started.
Daily Candle Chart
Long sentiment remains unchanged
Since Monday, the sentiment on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was 59% bullish, as 59% of open position volume was long.
On Friday, 56% of volume was long.
Meanwhile, in the 1000-pip range around the metal’s price the pending orders were 77% to buy the metal.